Aaron Rodgers and the Packers roll into one of the loudest venues in the NFL tonight – CenturyLink Field – to take on the Seattle Seahawks. Green Bay is a 3 point favorite. Both teams are 1-1 (straight up and against the spread) and are coming off of impressive wins last week. The total for the game is 44 points, a number that has been bet down significantly since opening at 46.5.
When Cantor Gaming released lines for all games prior to the season, this line was set at Packers -6. A dominant Seahawks win in week two combined with an early Packers loss has driven the spread down to a field goal.
This is the second straight home game for the Seahawks and the second straight time they are home dogs. Over the last three years, the Seahawks are 11-5 ATS at home as an underdog, including last¬†last week’s blowout win against the Dallas Cowboys. Rookie quarterback Russell Wilson has been formidable in his first two games, throwing for 304 yards with two touchdowns and 1 interception. The Seahawks defense, though, has been the most impressive surprise of this team; in the last two weeks, they¬†allowed only 43 & 49 yards of rushing against the Cardinals and Cowboys respectively.
Aaron Rodgers has played well ¬†throughout his career as a road¬†favorite¬†with a 12-9-0 record against the spread. He’s played even better coming off of a win, as Rodgers has a 24-16-2 ATS record when the Packers have won the previous week. Greg Jennings, one of Rodgers’¬†favorite¬†targets, is questionable to return to the Packers offensive tonight, but signs suggest he’ll play.
Over Aaron Rodgers’ career, the Packers have gone over the total in 53.8% of games. One of the contributing factors to the total’s downward move may have been the threat of inclement¬†weather. But today’s weather reports show perfect football weather, 53 degrees and partly cloudy.
- Aaron Rodgers is 19-13-1 ATS on the road
- The last time Aaron Rodgers played the Seahawks, the Packers won (and covered the 13.5 spread) in a 48-10 win.
- Since 1988, the Seahawks have gone 39-30-1 ATS when home dogs.
- Aaron Rodgers is 4-2-0 ATS when playing Monday Night Football.
- The Seahawks are 7-2-1 ATS when playing at home on a Monday night.