We’re big fans of futures betting. And not just because there have been a number of high-profile scores recently like the guy who won nearly $400,000 by betting on the St. Louis Cardinals to win the World Series at 999:1 and bettors who backed the New York Giants to win the Super Bowl at 100:1.
No, we think bets on season long outcomes allows for even more rigorous analysis than can be done on individual games. We previously covered how Hilton SuperContest Champ Richard Stand went 8-0 on NFL season long win total bets thanks to help from analysis by Football Outsiders.
Also, season long ¬†bets allow you a ton of hedging opportunities as the season unfolds enabling bettors to lock in profits. Another nice perk: with season long bets, you almost never suffer a bad beat. A last second shot or an end of half Hail Mary is rarely going to make or break a season long bet while those plays can – and do – decide individual game wagers.
5Dimes is the first offshore book to release NFL season win totals for 2012-13 season. Not surprisingly, Green Bay has the highest posted total at 12.5 (they finished last year with 15-1 record). The Super Bowl Champion Giants are at 10.5 (they finished last year with a 9-7 record) and 8 teams are tied for the lowest win totals at 6.5.
We should note that last year’s MGM win totals combined to equal 266.5 wins. This year’s 5Dimes totals equal 262.5 but does not yet include a win total for Houston. Let’s say Houston’s total is set at 9 and, all of a sudden, the 5Dimes totals will be 271.5 (2% higher than last year’s win totals at the MGM). The most wins possible by all the NFL teams combined: 256.
So are these totals too high? Yes, they are.
Here’s the complete list of totals:
|New York Giants||10.5||100||-140|
|New York Jets||9.5||145||-185|