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At the beginning of the season Cantor listed tonight’s Texans-Jets as a pick ‘em. One week ago the look ahead line was Houston -4. Tonight the Texans head to MetLife stadium as 9-point favorites. That’s right, the Jets perception couldn’t get much lower while the 4-0 Texans have exceeded expectations. Reports heading into tonight’s game show that 70% of bettors are on the Texans laying the 9.

Let’s be honest — the Jets have their work cut out for them facing the undefeated Houston Texans who are 4-0 ATS  this year. In week 3 the Jets lost their best cornerback in Darrelle Revis. In week 4 their best receiving threat, Santonio Holmes, went down during the 34-0 blowout vs. the 49ers. Even the Jets’ running back situation has been nightmarish as Shonn Greene (2.8 yards/carry) has been the teams most productive back with 191 aggregate yards. With all the issues and inadequacy, the Jets haven’t crushed those who’ve bet them, going 2-2 ATS on the year. In week one the Jets blew out the Bills by 20, and just 2 weeks ago, the Jets topped (and covered) against the seemingly legitimate Miami Dolphins. It all depends which team shows up.

The Houston Texans defense has been one of the stingiest in the NFL, only giving up 56 points over 4 games.  They rank 5th against the pass and 10th against the run. On the other side of the ball the meager Jets offensive is the 8th worst on the ground (86.5 yards/game) and 5th worst in passing (197.5 yards/game). On paper the Jets don’t have a fighting chance in this one. The only glimmer of hope for the Jets is that Matt Schaub is not only 0-3 lifetime ATS on MNF, but also 0-3 stright up. Oh, that and the fact that Tim Tebow sees tonight as a Biblical Battle:


Some Notes:

  • Sanchez is 2-4 ATS when getting more than 7 points
  • MNF Home dogs getting more than 7 points are 12-11 since 1988
  • Throughout his career, Schaub is 4-3-1 ATS when laying more than 7
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