Evansville Purple Aces at Missouri State Bears

Current Line: Missouri State -10
Current O/U Line: 139.5

Evansville Purples Aces (7-9 SU, 7-6 ATS) head out on the road tonight for Missouri Valley Conference matchup with the Missouri State Bears (11-7 SU, 8-6 ATS).

Evansville enters today’s contest looking to snap a four game losing streak in which they have gone 3-1 ATS though.

From a winning only matters standpoint Evansville has struggled this season, now  from a betting stand point where covering the line only matters Evansville has done an outstanding job in the underdog role. Evansville this season is 6-2 ATS when playing as the underdog with their two non covers coming against two of the top teams in the nation (UNC & Indiana).

Evansville’s offense this season is averaging 71.3 points per game while shooting 44.6% from the field. The last five games that Evansville was an underdog they have averaged 74 points per game. Leading the Purple Aces offense this season is Colt Ryan (20.1 PPG) and Kenneth Harris (11.7 PPG).

The defense being played by Evansville has not been anything spectacular allowing 73.3 points per game while opponents have shot 48.9% from the field against them. Away from home this season the defense gets worse for the Purple Aces allowing 78.5 points per game with opponents shooting almost 50% against them.

Missouri State enters this afternoons contest struggling to put together a winning streak like they had to start the season (four games).The Bears will win a game or two then lose one or two, when looking at the Bears from a betting standpoint though they have been successful thus far in conference play (4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS).

The offense has not been all that impressive thus far into the season for Missouri State averaging just 68.2 points per game while shooting 45.8% from the field. Leading the Missouri State offense is Kyle Weems (16.1 PPG) and Caleb Patterson (12.9 PPG).

Missouri State’s defense has been able to keep this team in games thus far this season. Missouri State is allowing just 61.9 points per game with opponents shooting just 38.8% from the field against them. The Bears have only given up more than 70 points once at home this season.

Key Trends for today’s matchup:
- Evansville 4-0 ATS their last four road games against a team with a home winning % above .600
- Evansville 3-0-1 ATS the last four meetings between these two teams
- Missouri State 5-1 ATS their last six Conference games.
- Missouri State 5-12-2 ATS their last 19 home games.

Prediction:
Evansville 67 Missouri State 74

Cleveland State Vikings at Valparaiso Crusaders

Current Line: Cleveland State -1
Current O/U Line: 136.5

Cleveland State Vikings (15-3 SU, 7-8 ATS) head out on the road tonight to take on the Valparaiso Crusaders (11-7 SU, 7-8 ATS) in this Horizon League contest between two of the top three teams in the conference thus far.

Cleveland State enters today’s contest on a three game winning streak after their embarrassing six point home loss to Youngstown State on New Year’s Eve as a 13.5 point favorite. The Vikings are outscoring their opponents by an average of 15 points per game during this three game winning streak.

Cleveland State offense has not been all that impressive this season averaging just 64.4 points per game while shooting 43.7% from the field. Cleveland State free throw shooting has been the strength to this offense shooting 75.1% this season ranking them 45th in the nation. Leading the offense for Cleveland State is D’Aundray Brown (12.0 PPG) and Trevon Harmon (11.5 PPG).

Cleveland State defense has been the main reason why this team is sitting with 15 wins thus far this season. Opponents are averaging just 58.7 points per game while shooting 42.7% from the field against the Vikings. Cleveland State defense started the season extremely profitable for under bettors since the first eight Viking games went under the posted total.

Valparaiso comes into today’s contest off a 14 point win over Youngstown State as a six point favorite that has made the Crusaders winners of three of their last four.

The Crusaders offense has been the success to this team thus far. Valparaiso is averaging 72.4 points per game while shooting 47% from the field but when at home the Crusaders are averaging 75.6 points per game while shooting 49% from the field. Leading the offense for the Crusaders is Kevin Van Wijk (15.5 PPG) and Ryan Broekhoff (15.2 PPG).

The defense though for the Crusaders has been their weakness thus far. Opponents are averaging 73.3 points per game and shooting 46.6% from the field against Valparaiso. Valparaiso is 7-2 SU at home this season but just 3-4 ATS on their home court due to the struggling defense they have played.

Key trends for today’s matchup:
- Cleveland State is 7-2 ATS the last nine meetings between these two teams.
- Valparaiso is 7-1 ATS their last eight games as a home underdog
- Valparaiso is 0-4 ATS their last four games against  a team with a winning % above .600
- Under is 4-1 for Cleveland State as a favorite of 0.5-7 points this season
- Under is 5-2 for Valparaiso after a win this season

Prediction:
Cleveland State 69 Valparaiso 63