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Golden State Warriors at New Orleans Hornets

Current Line: New Orleans -2

Current O/U Line: 188

The Golden State Warriors (18-25 SU, 22-21 ATS) look to put tan end to their four game losing streak tonight when they head out on the road where they are 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS the last five road games.

For a team to lose their starting point guard and then trade away their starting two- guard you would think the offense would struggle. I actually enjoy watching this Warriors offense now that Klay Thompson (18.6 PPG L5) and Nate Robison (16.4 PPG, 6.2 APG L5) have been inserted into the starting lineup. Golden State is averaging 100.2 points per game the last five games while shooting 46.3% from the field and 36.4% from beyond the arc.

Now that Golden State has found an offense that is working for them they need to figure out a way to play defense and stop some teams for them to become more successful The Warriors are allowing 102 points per game the last five games with opponents shooting 45.6% from the field and 38.6% from beyond the arc against them.

New Orleans Hornets (11-34 SU, 21-24 ATS) come into tonight’s contest off an eight point road win in New Jersey on Saturday Night that put an end to a three game losing streak.

This offense that the Hornets are playing this season has me scratching my head at times. New Orleans is averaging just 86.7 points per game at home this season while shooting just 43% from the field and 29% from beyond the arc. Over the span of the last 10 games New Orleans played five at home and five on the road in which they scored more than 95 on the road four of the five games. When the Hornets played at home they failed to break 90 in three of those five games. Jarret Jack (15.2 PPG), Chris Kaman (13.1 PPG) and Marco Belinelli (11.4 PPG) lead this offense.

The defense being played by the Hornets this season has done a superb job on their home court. New Orleans is allowing just 92.5 points per game at home with opponents shooting 45.4% from the field and 32.55 from beyond the arc. Four of the last five opponents at home for New Orleans though have scored 92 or more against them.

Key trends for tonight are:

-          Warriors are 4-1 ATS the last five meetings

-          Hornets are 9-1 ATS their last 10 games playing on 3 or more days of rest

-          Hornets are 0-8 ATS this season at home against teams below .500

-          Hornets are 0-7 ATS this season as a favorite

I said before I really like the way Golden State offense has been playing and they get a chance to grab a win tonight against a team that struggles at home and as a favorite.

Prediction:

Golden State 98 New Orleans 94

 

Washington Wizards at New Jersey Nets

Current Line: New Jersey -5

Current O/U Line: 204

The Washington Wizards (10-34 SU, 16-28 ATS) finish up their six road trip tonight looking for just their 2nd win during this road trip.

The offense for the Wizards has performed much better during the first five road games then what they have this season away from home. Washington is averaging 94.8 points per game the last five games while shooting 47.4% from the field and 35.5% from beyond the arc. Leading the offense for Washington is their only double digit scorers John Wall (17.6 PPG) and Jordan Crawford (13.3 PPG). Trevor Booker has stepped up his game during this road trip averaging 13.8 points per game for the Wizards.

Washington’s defense needs to find a way to start playing somewhat of a better defense to be competitive in these games. The Wizards are allowing 101.4 points per game the last five games while six of their last eight opponents have scored triple digits against them. Opponents are shooting 47.7% from the field the last five games against Washington and 34.8% from beyond the arc.

The New Jersey Nets (15-32 SU, 20-27 ATS) enter tonight’s contest looking to snap a three game losing streak while attempting to pick up just their 6th win at home this season.

The Nets are definitely one of those teams that play much better on the road then what they do at home on both sides of the ball. New Jersey is averaging just 93.3 points per game on their home court this season where they are shooting just 42.5% from the field and 32.5% from beyond the arc. Surprisingly the Nets have broken the triple digit barrier in three of their last six home contests. The offense is led by Deron Williams (22.1 PPG, 8.1 APG) and the newly acquired Gerald Wallace who is averaging 19 points per game and 7.5 RPG in his first two contests with the Nets.

The defense that the Nets play on their home court is one of the worse in the league this season. New Jersey is allowing 100.6 points per game at home this season with opponents shooting 48.4% from the field and 41% from beyond the arc against them. Five of the last six opponents for the Nets at home have scored triple digits against them including their last two Cleveland and New Orleans who are from being a power house offensive team.

Key Trends for tonight are:

-          Washington is 2-5 ATS as an underdog of 4-6.5 points this season

-          Nets are 1-4 ATS as a favorite of 4-6.5 points this season

-          Nets are 3-8 ATS at home this season against teams below .500

New Jersey makes a move at the trade deadline to acquire a veteran like Gerald Wallace and it is the same results for this team. The Nets should not be losing games at home to teams like Cleveland and New Orleans who do not play well on the road. I know Washington is a bad team but they have an opportunity tonight to grab at win against a team that has struggled all season on their home floor.

Three of my favorite teams to fade are Portland on the road. Lakers on the road and New Jersey at home they all have been outstanding money makers this season.

Prediction:

Washington 99 NJ 100

 

LA Lakers at Dallas Mavericks

Current Line: Dallas -4.5

Current O/U Line: 188

The LA Lakers (28-18 SU, 21-25 ATS) look to put an end to their two game losing streak when they head out on the road tonight against a team that they have had success against this season (Dallas) who they are 2-0 SU against this season.

The Lakers offense has been playing at an extremely high level as of late. LA is averaging 104.6 points per game the last five games in which they are shooting 46.4% from the field and 32.2% from beyond the arc. The Lakers offense is led by their big three in Kobe Bryant (28.7 PPG), Andrew Bynum (18 PPG, 12.7 RPG) and Pau Gasol (16.7 PPG, 10.3 RPG). Ramon Sessions has played well since being traded over from Cleveland averaging 10.3 PPG and 5.0 APG since coming to LA.

The area on the court that LA is struggling at is on the defensive side of the ball right now for a team that allows just 93.2 points per game this season. The Lakers are allowing 102.8 points per game the last five games in which opponents are shooting 46.3% from the field and 24.7% from beyond the arc. Four of the last five opponents for the Lakers have scores triple digits.

The Dallas Mavericks (27-20 SU, 24-23 ATS) come into tonight’s contest riding a four game winning streak as they look for that first win this season against a Lakers team they swept out of the playoffs last season.

The Dallas offense has been red hot during this four game winning streak. The Mavericks are averaging 102.6 points per game the last five games in which they are shooting 46.9% from the field and 38.7% from beyond the arc. Dallas has scored triple digits in four straight for the first time this season. Leading the Dallas offense is Dirk Nowitzki (20.8 PPG) and Jason Terry (14.8 PPG).

Dallas has done an outstanding job this season on the defensive side of the ball on their home court. The Mavericks are allowing 91.6 points per game at home this season with opponents shooting 41.9% from the field and 32.7% from beyond the arc. Dallas has had some issues the last five home games on the defensive side of the ball allowing 96 points or more in four of those five games.

Key trends for tonight are:

-          Lakers are 5-9 ATS this season when playing on 0 days’ rest.

-          Lakers are 5-1 ATS their last six games as an underdog

-          Dallas is 6-0 ATS their last 6 games against teams with a winning % above .600

-          Dallas if 5-1 ATS the last 6 meeting between these two teams

The Lakers have struggled this season picking up just nine road wins all season with one of them coming against this Dallas squad. Dallas is playing extremely well right now have will definitely have revnege on their mind after two losses already coming at the hands of this Lakers team.

Prediction:

Lakers 92 Dallas 99

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