Thanks to Tuesday’s blockbuster trade, the Blue Jays are now proud owners of Josh Johnson, Jose Reyes, Mark Buehrle. Â The Marlins, on the other hand, will be filling those positions with Yunel Escobar, Henderson Alvarez, Adeiny Hechavarria and a boatload of additional salary space. This trade is getting crushed in the media, but just how does this affect the odds?
Toronto Blue Jays
Pre-Trade Odds to Win World Series:Â 35 to 1Â
- Implied probability of winning the World Series -> 2.76%
Post-Trade Odds to Win World Series: 14 to 1
- Implied probability of winning the World Series -> 6.67%
This means that sports books (and the betting market) have increased the implied probability percentage  141.66% since the trade.

Miami Marlins
Pre-Trade Odds to Win World Series: 40 to 1Â
- Implied probability of winning the World Series -> 2.44%
Post-Trade Odds to Win World Series:Â 100 to 1
- Implied probability of winning the World Series -> 0.99%
This means that the likelihood that the Marlins win the World Series has dropped  59.43% since the trade.
Not surprisingly, the Houston Astros have even worse odds than the Marlins at 200/1 (0.50% implied probability). The Detroit Tigers are the favorite to win the World Series at 15/2 (11.76% implied probability.)
All odds are courtesy of Bovada.


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