SuperContest-Graphic-Week-10
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This is the week 10 installment of our foray into the LVH Supercontest using our own proprietary, predictive models. Each week we run all the games and play the best results — whether we like them or not.  This week really shows our dedication and willingness to wholeheartedly follow a model.

So far on the season we are a winning 23-22-0. That’s right folks, we are back in the black thanks to a record setting week 9. Last year we finished a few spots out of the money but turned in a great record of 48-35-2 (a 58% win rate) … yet we never saw a perfect week. That streak was snapped last week, thanks to a flawless five picks.

LAST WEEK’S RESULTS:

 Here’s a look how our model performed in week 8:

  • 5 Brain Confidence: n/a (Overall: 0-2-0, 0% win pct)
  • 4 Brain Confidence: 3-0-0 (Overall: 4-2-0, 66% win pct)
  • 3 Brain Confidence: 2-0-0 (Overall: 6-5-0, 55% win pct)
  • 2 Brain Confidence: n/a (Overall: 6-7-0, 46% win pct)
  • 1 Brain Confidence: n/a (Overall: 2-4-0,33% win pct)
  • 0 Brain Confidence: n/a (Overall: 1-2-0, 33% win pct)
  • Just Missed The Cut Plays: 3-2 (Overall: 21-17-2, 55% win pct)
So over the past two weeks we’ve seen an astounding 8-2 record — something much needed after our horrid 2-8 performances in week 6 & week 7.  Here is our selection of the model’s week 10 plays:

Oakland Raiders vs. Baltimore Ravens

Carson Palmer and the Oakland Raiders offense have been a sneakily good unit this year while the Ravens defense may be one of the most overrated units in the league. While we hate the seven & a half link our model doesn’t and is continuing its pro-Baltimore ways. Let’s hope Flacco snaps out of his funk against a sub-par defense.

Play

Model Confidence Level

Make Your Pick

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints

We admit it. Our model seems to be a Falcons fan. It’s been picking the Falcons nearly every game this year and continues to do so on the road against the Saints. This is another line that we aren’t particularly fond of — but again, we are erring on the side of science instead of our own neurons.

Play

Model Confidence Level

Make Your Pick

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

When Cantor set this line before the season started it was Steelers -7. The line has since moved 5.5 points thanks to the Chiefs flacid defense and Romeo Crenel’s incompetence. Twelve and a half points is a lot, but we at least like the fact that new Steelers OC Todd Haley has a vendetta to uphold against his former team.

Play

Model Confidence Level

Make Your Pick

Denver Broncos vs. Carolina Panthers

Each week it seems that Manning gets better. Our model is a fan of any Manning (even Cooper) and like the Broncos against an average Panthers pass defense.

Play

Model Confidence Level

Make Your Pick

Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots

As die hard Buffalo Bills fans who’ve been doomed to mediocrity – this is a tough week. It’s the realization that Vegas got it right with the initial 6.5 win total (eventual bet up to 8 in some places). The Bills played the Pats tough for a half in the first meeting (at Buffalo) but our model thinks they won’t this time around.

Play

Model Confidence Level

Make Your Pick

 

JUST MISSED THE CUT

While our model like the 5 above plays the most, the machine also leans towards:

  • Buccaneers: -3
  • 49ers -11
  • Vikings: +2.5
  • Eagles: +1.5

Make sure to check back next week for a week 10 recap and our week 11 plays. Also be sure to follow us on Twitter and Facebook.

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